Market report

CONFIRMATION BIAS

London Block Exchange

6th March 2018

Remember that longer time frames are required to confirm proper reversals

CONFIRMATION BIAS

Remember that longer time frames are required to confirm proper reversals

After seemingly breaking the log chart resistance we referred to in yesterday’s report, at 20:15 GMT bitcoin instead started dropping from its daily high of £8.44k ($11.69k). It’s currently trading 3% to 4% lower than this high, but it seems that we are still at a bullish inflexion point.

Why did this happen? Mainly because traders were impatient — there was no confirmation of a higher time frame for that specific breakout. Nevertheless, enthusiasm kicked in — perhaps because bitcoin was above its 50 day moving average — and, naturally, bears took the opportunity to open some shorts on the decreasing volume.

Remember that Oscar-winning Hollywood block(chain)busters tend to have happy endings, however — the most important event of the past hour, at least for technical traders, has been a potential daily ‘kumo twist’. That means bitcoin is in a position to finally breakout above a key dynamic resistance level, Ichimoku’s cloud, which is a level that hasn’t been broken since January 16th!

THE EXCHANGE WHO CRIED WOLF

After what happened with Bitcoin Cash, Coinbase must deny new releases

As the rest of the market is waiting for bitcoin’s moves to play out, with the top 100 projects 2.5% down on average against the dollar and nearly unmoved against BTC, it’s time to talk about the elephant in the trading floor — Coinbase and its relationship with Ripple.

As mentioned yesterday, a rumour started circulating over the weekend that Coinbase’s COO was going to announce that Ripple’s XRP token will be listed on their exchange in an interview on CNBC later today, causing the token’s price to surge 18%.

Then, at 19:00 GMT, Coinbase retweeted their January 4th statement from a similar controversy they experienced , saying that they have made no decision to add additional assets — and XRP’s price immediately started dropping.

Do note that as Coinbase are getting sued for insider trading following the release of bitcoin cash on their platform last December, they are being extra careful with new listings and, as such, may be denying potential additions to avoid further legal entanglements. Watch out!

WHAT TO LOOK OUT FOR

Filter the noise and stay ahead of the pack

At 18:00 GMT today, if you are in London, check-out ALIS’ meet-up on Marlin’s Waterloo Hotel. ALIS is a Japanese social media platform.

At 22:00 GMT tonight, Tune in to CNBC — or Twitter if American TV is unavailable — to listen to Ripple’s CEO and Coinbase’s COO interview.

Mark March 19th on your calendar. The US Marshals Service are auctioning off 2170 bitcoin and, if you have an extra £150k for a deposit, you can register your interest here.

WHAT TO READ TODAY

An insight a day could give you more profits to play

NEO responded to the controversy surrounding their consensus system that caused a 22% drop in its price — but is it a sufficient answer?

Check-out this handy visualization of 25 notable cryptoassets, distinguishing them by category, inception date, market cap and trading volume.

Abandon the now-inaccurate market dominance metrics and start using the free Bletchley Indexes to benchmark your trades and investments!

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  • ichimoku
  • CNBC
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  • NEO